Posts Tagged ‘broker attorney’

Will Increased Interest Rates Affect the Housing Market?

Wednesday, March 14th, 2018

The reality of rising mortgage rates is of concern to home buyers and sellers. Normally interest rate increases alone would not be much of a concern but combined with continued low inventory and high prices many wonder if the housing market will be able to sustain itself; there are 3 – 4 expected rate increases remaining this year.

I feel it is safe to say that rising interest rates will have an effect on housing affordability and inventory. Here is how I see it:

1. Higher rates mean many buyers will not be able to afford the house they could afford today (if inventory was not an issue). Many people, especially the would-be first time home buyers, may choose to continue renting or live with parents. If there is less demand for the homes that are on the market, prices will drop.

2. Sellers may continue to withhold homes from the market for the same reason – if there is no inventory for them to move either up or down, selling may not make sense. Especially when you take into consideration the higher rates, plus property tax increases for move up buyers. With less homes hitting the market we will continue to see inventory shortages, BUT combined with higher rates, which could lead to lower demand, prices should start to come down.

3. Luxury markets will face even tougher challenges as rates rise. Combined with the new tax laws, which raise tax on purchases for loans over $750,000, many potential luxury buyers may decide to hold off. Luxury sellers will likely see longer market times and lower prices.

It is important to keep in mind that every market is different. Here in San Diego we have year-round desirable inventory due to weather and location – but the coming changes will affect us and could alter the second/vacation home market purchases as well. It is important to consult a local area real estate agent to understand what is going on in your specific area.

If the inventory rut continues on this path it could lead to a big problem in the real estate market. I feel, and many economists and real estate market watchers agree, that it will stall purchases, keep sellers in homes they would have otherwise sold, and have a deep effect on buyers currently in the market and future buyers. As we head into the Spring and Summer it is a good time to think about selling and purchasing, prior to further rate increases.

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Happy New Year 2018 and Real Estate Predictions

Thursday, December 28th, 2017

It is amazing that 2017 has come to an end, and it has certainly been an interesting year in real estate. Low inventory, rising prices and high buyer demand all made for some tough times for buyers and advantageous times for many sellers.

Moving forward into the new year I forsee the following:

Price stabilization: I stand by my comments over the last months that prices should start to calm down. We have already seen that in many areas here in San Diego county. HOWEVER, if the inventory levels remain low and demand high then we could see increases in some high-demand neighborhoods. But I do not think that will last for long.

Inventory increases: With the still high prices and coming market changes – likely interest rate increases, mortgage rate increases and new tax laws, hopefully we will see an increase in properties for sale. Many sellers will likely want to sell prior to tax changes and rising rates, and while demand is high, before such changes could effect net profit margins.

Mortgage rate increases: The last several years have proved positive for sellers with very historic low interest rates. I believe those rates will start to rise as we head into the new year, and that we could even see several increases in 2018. For those who have been pondering purchasing property now is a great time to start looking.

No matter what the new year brings it is still evident that the real estate market remains strong. As I have always believed, you cannot go wrong purchasing San Diego real estate. We have the most beautiful weather, you are never far from the beach, and we have an amazing outdoor, healthy lifestyle here in San Diego county.

Happy New Year to all of you, and I hope that you have a year blessed with good health, lots of laughter, success and much time spent with those you love.

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