Archive for the ‘San Diego real estate’ Category
Monday, January 29th, 2018
A lot of homeowners have been wondering whether to sell now or wait until Spring. While Spring and early summer are typically the best times to sell, when a large majority of buyers are searching for homes, this year there is no reason to wait if you are a seller…and here is why:
Low Inventory – although picking up in some places, housing inventory is still low. The last year has been challenging for those who are ready, willing and able to buy, since they are unable to find homes that meet their needs or desires. This puts sellers in a great position while it is still a seller’s market.
Mortgage rates will continue to rise – rates have risen once already and will likely do so twice more this year. Combined with low inventory this double whammy will effect homebuyers, effecting their purchasing power and pricing some out of certain markets. If inventory picks up and the rates rise it will start to shift to a buyer’s market, and prices could come down in the long run.
Here is an example I read on a lender’s blog: If rates increase by 1%, from 4% to 5%, a buyer will lose 10% in purchasing power. This means that if a buyer can afford to purchase a $600k home today, but rates increase by 1%, she will only afford $540k using the same monthly payment.
Borrowing is still cheap – from a historical perspective it is still inexpensive to borrow money.
Prices will likely continue to rise – most economists and those who watch the real estate market predict that despite rate increases, prices will continue to rise in 2018. In the last year prices in San Diego County increased 9.1% – this was higher than the yearly increase of 4.2% in 2016. Again, this could impact homebuyers in many areas of the county.
New tax laws will likely effect high-end borrowers – those who are obtaining loans for high end properties will be effected from a tax perspective, as the new laws cap the mortgage interest deduction and the ability to deduct state and local taxes. Therefore the higher end market will be impacted this year, but we will have to wait and see the extent.
Based on the above it is an ideal time to sell. There is a great demand out there – I get emails from agents every week asking about whether I have any upcoming listings in certain neighborhoods. Many homes are selling before they even hit the MLS, and many agents are choosing to put their listings on sites other than the MLS first, in order to try to represent both parties in the sale (so some buyers may not even be aware of listings in neighborhoods they like).
Friday, August 18th, 2017
The real estate market is going CRAZY…well, at least in my local area. After over a year of increased prices and low inventory, multiple offers and crazy shenanigans so that people can get into homes, there are some strange things going on all of a sudden – since the start of August.
Here is what I am seeing in the San Diego market:
Longer market times – Many homes are taking longer to sell compared to those that sold just within the last few months. Even neighborhoods where homes were literally receiving multiple offers on the first day on market are sitting now. Many eventually reduce and on the average I am seeing some homes take around 60 days just to go into escrow.
No more multiple offers in most cases – You would think that the continued lack of inventory would make multiple offers a common occurrence still, but many homes are sitting on the market and reducing prices before they finally go into contract.
Lots of price reductions – I am seeing this all across the board – from condos to single family homes to 2-4 unit income properties. Sellers continue to hit the market with high prices – at comparative sales value or higher – only to have to reduce after 30 days or so due to lack of offers.
Buyers are making low offers – This is for real folks, so if you are a seller be prepared! It is happening all over. I think buyers are tired of rising prices and competition for homes, and they are starting to feel that if a seller won’t take a lower offer, they won’t buy. This is also true with short sales, even though banks no longer accept crazy low offers like they once did years ago.
Escrows are cancelling – I have seen this first hand with my own listings and I have heard from other agents as well – buyers are cancelling escrows at what seems to be a higher rate than we have seen in a long time.
I have reached out to other agents and escrow officers and it seems I am not the only one who feels the market is in such an interesting place. Many agents feel that August has always been a slow month for real estate sales – the end of summer with last vacations prior to kids returning to school, visitors leaving the city, etc. (here in San Diego we have a LOT of summer visitors!)
But there are some who think that this change is indicative of what is to come. Many buyers who were unable to purchase homes due to lack of inventory and multiple offer situations, have decided to rent and wait until the market drops or until there is more inventory available (which really goes hand in hand with prices dropping or at least stabilizing).
I will reiterate my belief, as stated in many blogs, that I do not think we will have a bubble burst or a housing crisis in the near future, but I do think tides are changing. A buyer’s market is starting to blossom and at some point it will flourish. If inventory picks up it will only fuel the change.
Monday, January 2nd, 2017
San Diego is definitely a desirable place to live, and as one of the most visited places in the United States it’s no wonder why – we have the best weather, beautifulÂ beaches, great food and nightlife, culture, incredible places to walk and hike, and so much more. There is nowhere else I’d rather live!
As we head into the new year here are some of the happening stories highlighting San Diego and the local real estate market.
San Diego Ranked 5th “Hottest” Real Estate Market in U.S. – Realtor.com ranked San Diego as the 5th “hottest” real estate market in the country. This is great news for the local market. The story pointed out that demand has especially grown since the election, likely due to increasing mortgage interest rates, and that the low supply levels heading into the new year will keep prices high – great news for sellers. Median sales time is 53 days in San Diego county, compared to 88 days nationwide.
San Diego Remains Top Destination for Foreign Buyers – We still rank as one of the top places for foreign buyers, especially those from China and Canada. San Diego is up there with Los Angeles, Orange County and San Francisco as the top places to purchase property in California. Speculation that this trend will continue in 2017 as many feel the US economy and the dollar will strengthen.
San Diego Home Sales Could be Protected by State Supreme Court Ruling – I have blogged about “dual agency” many times, and my position has always been that real estate agents should not be able to represent both the buyer and seller in a real estate transaction. The reason for this is that I feel it is virtually impossible to exercise a fiduciary duty to both parties – it can create too many conflicts of interest. The California Supreme Court seems to be coming closer to agreeing with this sentiment.
In November the court ruled that “a listing broker has a fiduciary responsibility to the buyer and the seller when his brokerage firm is representing both, setting a significant precedent for obtaining and sharing information in residential and commercial transactions.” While there are currently disclosures required which allow such situations, this ruling could be paving the way to no longer discontinuing them in the future…stay tuned for more.
If you need any information about property in the San Diego county area please feel free to contact me. Happy New Year!
Friday, June 17th, 2016
There seem to be a a slurry of lockbox break-ins and subsequent home break-ins or attempts lately in the San Diego County area, so if you have a home for sale or are a listing agent, please read on so you can be informed and safe.
Several agents – including myself – have reported lockbox break-ins or attempted break-ins within the last few months. One agent group to which I belong had multiple agents telling stories of lockbox thefts, with subsequent break-ins or attempts. It seems there is a pattern: the thieves come in the middle of the night and use power tools to break the lockbox off doors or pipes. They then take it and return with the key the following day to attempt home robbery.
One agent reported that her seller noticed in the morning as he was leaving for work that that lockbox had been cut. He stayed home and had a locksmith come immediately to change the locks – the thief/thieves returned later that day and attempted to access the home, but luckily were unable to do so – they decided not to use another lockbox.
Another agent said her lockbox had been cut and the thieves returned and stole an oven from the home.
Last month my sellers heard someone tampering with their lockbox between 2-3 AM (Mrs. Seller happened to be up nursing the baby); when Mr. Seller ran to the door and opened it the thief jumped in his waiting car and sped away. We removed the lockbox.
I spoke with the Carlsbad Police Department and they have not had any reports of this from agents or homeowners. I encouraged my clients to report their incident when it happened, but they did not get a description of the man, nor could they tell the make or model of the vehicle or license plate number – it all happened so fast – so they did not report it. The police department recommended not using lockboxes.
After reading the other agent stories a few days ago I removed a lockbox from a listing of mine and made showings by appointment only. Obviously this is an inconvenience for buyer agents, because they and I have to find mutually available times to meet, but it is better that my sellers are protected.
Keep in mind that real estate lockboxes are very well-made and are supposed to be break-in proof, according to the local Realtor association, but with battery operated power tools it is obvious that this is not the case. Never use contractor lockboxes, as these are much more flimsy and easier to break open. Either way, if you are a listing agent or seller you may want to consider this information and decide how to proceed.
If you are an agent please let me know if you have a similar story to share – and please report it to your local police department. This effects our business and our clients…hopefully there will be a way to stop it from happening that will not inconvenience home sellers and agents.
Tuesday, April 19th, 2016
A study just released by CoreLogic states that homes sold in San Diego this March had the highest prices in 9 years, with a median home price of $478,000. How is this possible with such low inventory, you may ask? Well, it is likely because of that low inventory that prices have skyrocketed. When levels are low affordability tends to increase as homes sell for higher prices, making it a seller’s market.
Another factor contributing to the current market status is that interest rates have remained exceptionally low, creating a surplus of buyers (some rates are reportedly under 4% for 30 year fixed loans). SpringÂ and Summer – the traditional “big” selling seasons – are in full swing with qualified buyers abound who have few choices. We are seeing multiple offer situations all over the place (I just wrote an offer the other day and there were 6 offers, all at or over asking price). Buyers are ready to buy and when a home in a desirable area is listed it likely will sell quickly – a strong reason to make sure you are preapproved if you are planning to purchase a home soon.
According to the report, home sales increased 5.1% year over year, with new home sales leaping 28.1% last month. All of this makes it a great time to sell, but many sellers do not do so because they are afraid they won’t find replacement property, putting many in a Catch-22 situation. On the other hand, home improvement stores have been doing very well since the start of the year, as many homeowners may be deciding to make improvements rather than chance selling with no where to move – we seem to be stuck in a rut of sorts.
Here in North San Diego I have seen a lot more off-market homes being marketed to real estate agents. In other words, agents list properties and market them without putting them on the MLS (a VERY good reason why all buyers need to have agents!). Many of these homes do not make it to the MLS until they are in escrow, giving buyers no opportunity to view them or make offers. This is frustrating but the early bird gets the worm I suppose. I have received emails and recorded phone calls about property that are not on the market yet but are being marketed to brokers or agents.
The bottom line is that prices have definitely risen and inventory is tight, but if you do your homework and prepare before buying or selling, you should be able to do well. If you are merely selling and have an appealing home in a desirable neighborhood you will be in the driver’s seat. If you are buying make sure to get preapproved, work with a real estate agent, get educated on the market in which you focus your search, and be ready to write the strongest offer you can.
Monday, February 1st, 2016
If you are a buyer you have likely noticed that inventory is scarce right now, in San Diego county as well as many other areas. As we head into the Spring/Summer “busy” home selling season, many wonder whether the inventory will pick up, and that has some buyers and sellers worried.
Here are some of the likely reasons why inventory levels remain low right now:
1. Rate increases. In December of 2015 the feds slightly raised interest rates, with the hint that more increases would follow. Many buyers got off the fence and are not out looking for houses before any further increases might price them out of the buyer market. This could be good news for sellers, but it seems they are not jumping to list their properties – likely because they are concerned with finding replacement property themselves.
2. Buyer inability to qualify for a loan. Many buyers may not be able to qualify for loans. Price increases in 2015 and mortgage interest rate increases could cut out the ability of some buyers to qualify.
3. Sellers don’t want to give up prop 13 tax basis. Some sellers may not want to list their properties because they could lose their Proposition 13 tax benefits if they sell – especially if they purchased their homes when prices were lower, the assumption being that a new home purchased willÂ be priced higher and thus have a higher tax base.
4. Sellers worry they won’t find replacement property. This was mentioned above, and it is a Catch-22 situation: sellers may have plenty of interested buyers and great offers, but they are afraid because of the lack of inventory available for finding replacement property; thus many sellers stay put.
5. U.S. and foreign economic issues. Although this may not play into selling and purchasing decisions as much as some of the other reasons, it could be a deal breaker for some buyers/sellers, who may perceive threats in the economic system and decide it is best to stay put until things feel safer.
The bottom line is that we do not know how the inventory will be affected as we head into 2016. Buyers who are qualified should probably focus on finding properties sooner rather than later, if they want to avoid interest rate hikes. Sellers who have replacement property, are moving out of the area, or must sell for other reasons will likely find themselves in a great position to sell. Make sure to talk to a knowledgeable and experienced local area agent and mortgage professional to understand what it going on in your hyper-local market, so you know when is the best time for you to buy or sell real estate.
Tuesday, February 3rd, 2015
The latest CoreLogic report shows that home values rose 5.0% in December nationwide, compared to a year ago. This figure includes distressed sales. For the entire year of 2014 home prices increased 7.4%, which is down from the 11.1% increase in 2013.
This news is great for the housing market, and shows that the housing market was definitely on a healing path in 2014. Many wonder whether it will continue as we move through 2015, and there are many opposing views.
It is important to caution, as I always do, that to truly understand what is happening in the real estate market you need to study your own specific market, as of course the market will vary depending on area (for example, homes in the mid-west may not have the same trajectory as homes in San Diego, California). Looking at San Diego’s market as we head into February, it looks like the market remains strong and prices continue to either rise slightly or remain steady. Demand is definitely growing, and at least personally it seems listings are selling a lot quicker.
Below is a chart for the median price of homes sold in San Diego County up through January 1, 2015. You can see prices climbing back up after a (typical) seasonal dip during the holiday period.
Here is a chart showing San Diego County inventory since March of 2014. Again, after a typical seasonal dip over the holiday season, we can see inventory rates starting to climb back up as we head into February and toward the Spring season.
There are currently 5,373 active properties on the market today in San Diego County, and 3,634 pending properties. Since January 1, 1,595 properties have closed. During the same period last year (January 1 through February 3) 1,894 properties closed escrow. If you would like more data that is specifically tailored to where you live or would like to live, please contact me and I will be happy to send you detailed reports on your specific area.
Monday, February 24th, 2014
January was a slow month for North San Diego home sales, but that is quite typical for the time of year.Â Here is the sales chart, courtesy of the San Diego Union Tribune:
In North coastal San Diego Oceanside (all 4 zip codes) saw the highest number of sales, followed by Carlsbad (all 4 zip codes), and then Carmel Valley. Solana Beach came in with the lowest number of homes sold with 9 total.
There are several reasons why the beginning of the year tends to be slower than other months – the holidays have just finished and many buyers put aside searching for homesÂ to be with family, the start of the year tends to showcase lower inventory levels, as many sellers wait until Spring/Summer to list their properties; the weather can be colder which tends to have an effect on some buyers (although here in San Diego we have had a warm winter).
All in all we still had a decent number of closings in North Coastal San Diego, with a total of 409 closings (single family detached, attached, and new constructionÂ combined), with a combined median sales prices of $581,000. Inland areas saw a combined median price of $420,000 and there were 550 total sales.
Monday, December 16th, 2013
It may be a little cooler here in San Diego than we are used to, but the real estate market is definitely heating up. Every year I think that December will be a slow month and that I will get to relax a bit, and every year I am wrong..this year is no exception. There are 1179 pending sales in the county as of December 1. I think this December could end up being one of the busiest in years for homes going into escrow.
Why is the market so hot right now? I think there are a few reasons, but suffice it to say that the buyers who are out there looking are very serious, and they are making very strong offers to boot. Here are a few reasons why I believe the market is on fire this December:
1.Â Market changes: I think the biggest factor in the buyer frenzy is that there have been some significant changes in the market here in San Diego (and in many other places as well). For starters, most listings are priced well, and the multiple offer frenzy seems to have died down. Even though inventory is still on the low side, those homes that are listed tend to show well. Priced right + show well = interested buyers. The buyers who are out there looking are very savvy – most of them have seen multiple properties and know not only what they want, but how much homes are worth. When they find one that meets all their criteria, they are willing to make offers over asking price to prevent multiple offer situations.
For sellers this holiday season is going to turn out to be a great time to list and sell – if their homes are priced right and show well, most sellers will be happy they lived through the hassle of selling during this time of year.
2.Â Loan qualification changes: I have discussed this in several blogs, so it is no surprise to hear that the major lenders have stated that it will be more difficult for people to qualify for loans come the new year. Tougher qualification standards will be put into play, creating the possibility that some buyers may be pushed out of the market. This could have some potential buyers worried, creating more of a sense of urgency to find properties sooner rather than later.
3.Â Interest rate rise: We have been hearing about this one for a while as well, and there is no doubt in my mind that there WILL be rises in interest rates in the new year. How much and how many is a mystery, but this still seems to have an affect on those buyers who are ready to purchase and want to lock in the lowest rates possible.
4.Â The unknown future: Given the status of last year’s Spring inventory (which was very low), it remains to be seen what will happen come Spring 2014. There are many factors that will influence whether we will see an inventory surge – interest rates, loan qualification standards, the economy and job market, etc. There will be a big comfort factor involved in whether sellers choose to list their homes or wait until things stabilize further in the economy. Fear of the unknown future may cause some buyers to buy now rather than wait to see what happens. Many feel that real estate is on the mend, but that it is still a volatile economy. This can go either way, but with the number of serious buyers out there right now I think it is creating the desire to buy now rather than wait it out and see what happens in the Spring.
It definitely is a hot market here in San Diego this December…it will be interesting to see the numbers come out and be able to compare them to the last several Decembers for previous years.
Monday, January 28th, 2013
If you’ve been to San Diego you know what a wonderful place it truly is, and how much it has to offer. Both full-time residents and part-timers love to live here, and it continues to be one of the top vacation destinations in the country. San Diego is also on the top ten list for international buyers. If you haven’t been to San Diego and wonder what makes it so special, and a great place to invest in property…here are my top 4 reasons:
1. Appreciation Factor. The San Diego real estate market is a special one. Sure, it has ups and downs like any market, but the location and weather make it a desirable place to own property year-round. The proximity to the coast will always be a strong factor. If you plan to hold onto the property over time you will find your investment is sound, and you will profit. This is prime coastal Southern California real estate territory.
2.Â Rentability. If you are planning on renting out your property you are in luck. Rents have risen over the last few years, inventory is scarce, and San Diego rental property is always in high demand. If you purchase property along the coast you may be able to rent out your property as a vacation rental, which can be a strong source of income. High end rental properties can even be a sole source of income in some situations. In the last several years I have seen rental properties rent very quickly, with multiple applications.
3.Â The Weather! Nowhere else has weather like San Diego. With an average year-round temperature of 72, San Diego is the quintessential vacation destination. Many “snowbirds” come to San Diego in the winter to escape the cold elsewhere, and those living in places that get a tad too warm in the summer, like Arizona and Nevada, love to call San Diego home during summer months.
4. So Much to Offer. San Diego has the best of everything: theater, music, dining, museums, culture, parks, sports and sports venues, shopping, and beaches. There is something for everyone in San Diego, and it will continue to be a vacation destination. In a word, it is paradise…wouldn’t you love to have a home in paradise?
No matter who you are or how you like to relax and play, you will find it in San Diego. If you are looking for investment property this is a great place, whether your goal is to have a home to escape to, or one that will be a source of income. If you have questions about investment property in San Diego County, please feel free to contact me. There are properties and locations for so many types of investments, and I will be happy to assist you in finding the right one.